6 Comments

I agree with this essay...no thoughtful person with an ounce of integrity could reasonably disagree.

That said...and I'd warrant that few would agree with me (few listened in 2018 when I pointed to the parallels to 1930s Germany, even fewer when I warned that global warming was accelerating far faster than even aggressive modeling would predict), my belief is that we're closer to WWIII than civil war.

Countries are realigning, China has calculated that US disintegration is an opening for further weakening US international power. Today we learn that China is sending military equipment to Russia.

Some of it is posturing, some is calculated to inflame anti-Biden propaganda, but there's a tipping point where the only option is further escalation. It seems inevitable that a red line will be crossed that will trigger a conventional war beyond Ukraine.

Others will certainly disagree, and I hope that I'm wrong, this time.

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I always hope I'm wrong, because I go very, very dark with the future predictions. It's because I know the past.

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Ditto...

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Welcome to the past present predicting ugly futures for our invasive species. Hope, yes. Optimism, generally not.

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Yes, all due respect to Mr. Twain, but history constantly repeats...the same scapegoats, the same rhetorical propaganda, the same dehumanization of the 'other', often the same countries.

Humans are inherently limited by their self-destructive, fear-driven, zero-sum inclinations.

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Decades? Or centuries? We've been rotting from the inside since the beginning of the country.

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